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著者 |
Vose, David. |
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題名 |
Risk analysis : a quantitative guide / David Vose. |
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版次 |
3rd ed. |
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出版項 |
Chichester, England : John Wiley & Sons Ltd., c2008. |
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稽核項 |
xiv, 735 p. : ill. ; 26 cm. |
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書目、索引、附錄等 |
Includes bibliographical references (p. [725]-728) and index. |
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目錄 |
Why do a risk analysis? -- Planning a risk analysis -- The quality of a risk analysis -- Choice of model structure -- Understanding and using the results of a risk analysis -- Probability mathematics and simulation -- Building and running a model -- Some basic random processes -- Data and statistics -- Fitting distributions to data -- Sums of random variables -- Forecasting with uncertainty -- Modelling correlation and dependencies -- Eliciting from expert opinion -- Testing and modelling causal relationships -- Optimisation in risk analysis -- Checking and validating a model -- Discounted cashflow modelling -- Project risk analysis -- Insurance and finance risk analysis modelling -- Microbial food safety risk assessment -- Animal import risk assessment. |
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主題 |
Monte Carlo method. |
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主題 |
Monte-Carlo-Simulation. |
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主題 |
Risk assessment -- Mathematical models. |
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ISBN |
9780470512845 (hbk.). |
